PITCHER MATCHUP

Paul Skenes vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Paul Skenes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Paul Skenes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .246Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sweeper 15%Splitter 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%Slider 6%Curveball 4%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Paul Skenes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.