PITCHER MATCHUP

Paul Skenes vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Paul Skenes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Paul Skenes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .245Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sweeper 15%Splitter 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 10%Slider 6%Curveball 4%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Paul Skenes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JL Josh Lowe LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Jose Siri RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-06 game page →