PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Corbin vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Corbin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Corbin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 32%Sinker 30%Cutter 21%Changeup 11%Four-Seam Fastball 6%Curveball 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Corbin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.