PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Corbin vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Corbin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Corbin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .353Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 31%Sinker 30%Cutter 21%Changeup 11%Four-Seam Fastball 6%Curveball 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Corbin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Juan Soto LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .457 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MV Mark Vientos RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FL Francisco Lindor SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →