PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Corbin vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Corbin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Corbin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 32%Sinker 30%Cutter 21%Changeup 11%Four-Seam Fastball 6%Curveball 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Corbin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 631 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .445 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.