PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Corbin vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Corbin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Corbin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 32%Sinker 30%Cutter 21%Changeup 11%Four-Seam Fastball 6%Curveball 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Corbin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MB Michael Busch LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.