PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Corbin vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Corbin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Corbin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 32%Sinker 30%Cutter 21%Changeup 11%Four-Seam Fastball 6%Curveball 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Corbin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 599 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 617 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.