PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 24%Sinker 16%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Cutter 6%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Ben Rice LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Amed Rosario RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JE J.C. Escarra LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.C. Escarra
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.