PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Changeup 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 11%Slider 9%Cutter 5%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EQ Edgar Quero SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.