PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .271vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 24%Sinker 16%Curveball 11%Slider 10%Cutter 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 EQ Edgar Quero SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →