PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 23%Sinker 15%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 4%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.