PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .264vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 24%Sinker 16%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Cutter 6%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JJ Josh Jung RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB Jake Burger RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JP Joc Pederson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CS Corey Seager LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →