PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .272vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 24%Sinker 15%Curveball 9%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JF Justin Foscue RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Foscue
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.