PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .263vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 23%Sinker 15%Curveball 10%Slider 9%Cutter 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 660 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Justin Foscue RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Foscue
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.