PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .260vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Changeup 24%Sinker 16%Curveball 11%Slider 8%Cutter 5%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CK Christian Koss RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →