PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .265vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 23%Sinker 15%Curveball 9%Slider 9%Cutter 4%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CK Christian Koss RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Jonah Cox RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Cox
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.