PITCHER MATCHUP

Parker Messick vs Los Angeles Angels

How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Parker Messick's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Parker Messick's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .252vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 11%Slider 8%Cutter 5%

How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Parker Messick, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 MT Mike Trout RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JL Josh Lowe LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jose Siri RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TH Tyler Heineman SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Heineman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-24 game page →