PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Schultz vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Schultz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Schultz's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .409vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026
Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Sweeper 23%Cutter 18%Changeup 9%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Schultz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →