PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Schultz vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Schultz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Schultz's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .367vs RHH xwOBA .366Seasons 2026
Sinker 26%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sweeper 21%Cutter 21%Changeup 10%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Schultz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.