PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Schultz vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Schultz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Schultz's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .392vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026
Sinker 26%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 18%Changeup 9%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Schultz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Adley Rutschman SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →