PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Schultz vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Schultz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Schultz's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .364Seasons 2026
Sinker 26%Cutter 22%Sweeper 22%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 9%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Schultz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.