PITCHER MATCHUP
Noah Cameron vs Tampa Bay Rays
How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Cameron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Noah Cameron's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 18%Slider 12%Sinker 2%
How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Cameron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .305
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1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TW Taylor Walls SH .265
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.