PITCHER MATCHUP
Noah Cameron vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Cameron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Noah Cameron's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 18%Slider 13%Sinker 3%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Cameron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.