PITCHER MATCHUP
Noah Cameron vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Cameron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Noah Cameron's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Cutter 21%Changeup 19%Curveball 17%Slider 13%Sinker 3%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Cameron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .307
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jake Mangum SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 HD Henry Davis RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.