PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Cameron vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Cameron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Cameron's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 18%Slider 12%Sinker 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Cameron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF Ty France RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LR Luis Rengifo SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →