PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Cameron vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Cameron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Cameron's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 18%Slider 13%Sinker 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Cameron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.