PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Cameron vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Cameron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Cameron's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 18%Slider 13%Sinker 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Cameron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .383
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CS Cam Smith RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jake Meyers RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Meyers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.