PITCHER MATCHUP

Noah Cameron vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Noah Cameron's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Noah Cameron's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 18%Slider 13%Sinker 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Noah Cameron, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .378
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.