PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Pivetta vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Pivetta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Pivetta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Curveball 21%Sweeper 18%Cutter 9%Sinker 2%Slider 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Pivetta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.