PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Pivetta vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Pivetta's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Pivetta's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Curveball 21%Sweeper 19%Cutter 9%Sinker 2%Slider 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Pivetta, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-18 game page →