PITCHER MATCHUP
Nick Lodolo vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nick Lodolo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.