PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EQ Edgar Quero SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →