PITCHER MATCHUP
Nick Lodolo vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nick Lodolo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willi Castro SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.