PITCHER MATCHUP
Nick Lodolo vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nick Lodolo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 WC Willi Castro SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →