PITCHER MATCHUP
Nick Lodolo vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nick Lodolo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 22%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 WC Willi Castro SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CN Connor Norby RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 CC Cole Carrigg SH .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BS Brett Sullivan LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Sullivan
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.