PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 25%Changeup 22%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →