PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.