PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.