PITCHER MATCHUP
Nick Lodolo vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nick Lodolo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.