PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Christian Encarnacion-Strand RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Encarnacion-Strand
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.