PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 28%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →