PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .389
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.