PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .391
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .444 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.