PITCHER MATCHUP
Nick Lodolo vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nick Lodolo's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 28%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 24%Changeup 21%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CB Carson Benge LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JS Juan Soto LHB .394
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .452 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-17 game page →