PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →