PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.