PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.