PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.