PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Curveball 27%Four-Seam Fastball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-25 game page →