PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Lodolo vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Lodolo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Lodolo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Curveball 27%Sinker 25%Changeup 21%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Lodolo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Josh Smith LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.