PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Spence vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Spence's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Spence's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 42%Slider 27%Curveball 16%Sinker 12%Changeup 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Spence, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.