PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Spence vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Spence's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Spence's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 42%Slider 27%Curveball 16%Sinker 12%Changeup 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Spence, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT José Tena LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BH Brady House RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.