PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Spence vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Spence's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Spence's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Cutter 42%Slider 27%Curveball 16%Sinker 12%Changeup 2%Sweeper 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Spence, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Cutter (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.