PITCHER MATCHUP
Miles Mikolas vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Miles Mikolas's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 WC Willi Castro SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 CN Connor Norby RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.