PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →