PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 644 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.