PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.