PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →