PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.