PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.