PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 709 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.