PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 653 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →