PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →