PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WW Weston Wilson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Leo Rivas SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JP Jhonny Pereda RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jhonny Pereda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.