PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.