PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .347vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Slider 23%Sinker 20%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LR Luke Raley LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MG Mitch Garver RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RR Rob Refsnyder RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rob Refsnyder
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.