PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LR Luke Raley LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.