PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.