PITCHER MATCHUP

Miles Mikolas vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miles Mikolas's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MH Michael Harris II LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →