PITCHER MATCHUP
Miles Mikolas vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miles Mikolas's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Miles Mikolas's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Slider 23%Sinker 21%Curveball 16%Changeup 10%Sweeper 4%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miles Mikolas, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AR Austin Riley RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.