PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 26%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.