PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 26%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.