PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 25%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BB Byron Buxton RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-30 game page →