PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 26%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.