PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 25%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 IC Isaac Collins SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.