PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .348vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 26%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-06 game page →