PITCHER MATCHUP
Mike Burrows vs Washington Nationals
How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Mike Burrows's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 26%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%
How the Washington Nationals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .302
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1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JY Jacob Young RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BH Brady House RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JT José Tena LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.