PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 26%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.