PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 26%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.