PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Burrows vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Burrows's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Burrows's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Changeup 25%Slider 18%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Burrows, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →