PITCHER MATCHUP

Miguel Ullola vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Miguel Ullola's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Miguel Ullola's arsenal

Throws RHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 61%Slider 24%Changeup 7%Cutter 5%Curveball 2%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Miguel Ullola, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →