PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.