PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 31%Sinker 11%Changeup 11%Cutter 7%Slider 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AM Austin Martin RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.