PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AM Austin Martin RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.