PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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