PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 11%Changeup 11%Cutter 7%Slider 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.