PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 31%Sinker 11%Changeup 11%Cutter 7%Slider 3%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.