PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.