PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.