PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .332vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.