PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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