PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Soroka vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Soroka's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Soroka's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%SV 30%Sinker 12%Changeup 11%Cutter 6%Slider 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Soroka, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (30% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (12% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →