PITCHER MATCHUP
Michael McGreevy vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael McGreevy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Michael McGreevy's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .380vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 20%Changeup 16%Sweeper 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 11%Slider 2%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael McGreevy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 JB Josh Bell SH .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 KC Kody Clemens SH .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 AM Austin Martin RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.