PITCHER MATCHUP
Michael McGreevy vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael McGreevy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Michael McGreevy's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 19%Changeup 16%Sweeper 14%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Slider 3%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael McGreevy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JM Joe Mack LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.