PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael McGreevy vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael McGreevy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael McGreevy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 20%Changeup 16%Sweeper 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 11%Slider 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael McGreevy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 OC Owen Caissie LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →