PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael McGreevy vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael McGreevy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael McGreevy's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 20%Changeup 16%Sweeper 15%Curveball 11%Cutter 11%Slider 3%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael McGreevy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →