PITCHER MATCHUP
Michael McGreevy vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael McGreevy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Michael McGreevy's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .375vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Sinker 19%Changeup 16%Sweeper 14%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Slider 3%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael McGreevy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.