PITCHER MATCHUP
Michael McGreevy vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael McGreevy's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Michael McGreevy's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .370vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 18%Changeup 17%Sweeper 13%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Slider 3%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael McGreevy, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .306
-
1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 MS Myles Straw RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
7 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
9 JS Josh Smith LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.