PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Changeup 19%Cutter 13%Curveball 11%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.