PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Changeup 18%Sinker 18%Cutter 12%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BB Byron Buxton RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →