PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Changeup 19%Cutter 13%Curveball 11%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.