PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Changeup 19%Cutter 13%Curveball 11%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DC Dylan Crews RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.