PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Changeup 19%Cutter 12%Curveball 11%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BH Brady House RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.