PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Changeup 19%Cutter 12%Curveball 11%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 631 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EH Eric Haase RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eric Haase
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →