PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .351vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sinker 18%Changeup 18%Cutter 12%Curveball 12%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →