PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Lorenzen vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Lorenzen's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Lorenzen's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 21%Sinker 19%Changeup 19%Cutter 13%Curveball 11%Slider 10%Sweeper 8%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Lorenzen, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 636 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.